NOAA says to be expecting up-to-average hurricane season
The National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting a upper-average Atlantic storm season.
According to the Federal Climate and Weather Agency, the season-which runs from 1 June to 30 November every year-is 60 percent of the above-normal weather, almost 30 percent of the normal weather and 10 percent of the normal weather.
They are also forecasting among 13 to 19 nominated storms, out of which six to 10 storms are being created. Among them, three to five major storms are expected to be (category 3 to 5 to 5 Saifir-Symns ScaleHe has 70 percent belief in these predictions.
Last year, NOAA estimated between 18 and 25 Nominated stormWith 8 to 13 storms. And finally, there were 18 storms and 10 storms.
“The 2024 storm season approach that was released in May last year, was correct on the money,” Lara Grim said, NOAA Administrator at a press conference working.
Three of those storms influenced Canada in 2024.
Remains of Hurricane Beril – which was a major storm, which caused widespread damage throughout the Caribbean – was responsible for a death in Volfville, NS in July, due to flash floods. It also produced two tornades near London, Onts.
The most important storm to hit Canada was Debbie that became an additional storm by the time of hitting Quebec in August. According to Canadian Insurance Bureau, it was Expensive weather phenomenon in the history of QuebecFloods caused a loss of about $ 2.5 billion.
About a week later, the relics of the storm hit the Newfoundland with minimal effects.
Hot Atlantic Ocean
Since 2023, the Atlantic Ocean is enough Average Due to global warming. The oceans have absorbed about 90 percent warming in the last few decades as we continue to release greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, mostly by burning fossil fuels.
Graham said that, although the temperature of the hot Atlantic Ocean, we do not affect the number of storms during the storm season, it is contributing to excess rainfall, as the atmosphere is now catching more moisture.
However, it is believed that hot temperatures have contributed Rapid intensityAs in 2023 with Hurricane Otis, a tropical storm strengthened to a category 5 from a tropical storm in less than 24 hours. This was slammed in Akapulo, Mexico, Kill at least 100 people Those who were intensely caught.
But Graham said that their rapid intensity related forecasts are getting better.
“We saw an improvement in the forecast in 2024,” he said. “Skill is far better than before. It was amazing to see in 2024. Helen was estimated to be a major storm … before it was a depression. It was a group of clouds, with thunderstorms.”
When asked about the cut of the Trump administration and how it could affect the forecast and local offices, Grim said it was not an issue.
“Weather prediction, modeling and protecting human life and property are our top priority,” he said. “We are fully employed at the storm center and we are definitely ready to go and we are actually making a top priority for this administration, for NOAA, for the Department of Commerce, for this administration. So we support our national meteorological employees a lot.”
About 10 percent of NOAA workforce Has been cut,
Message: Be ready
Most of the press conferences were centered around preparations for those who could be in the path of any storm.
He insisted that people should start preparations even before any storm.
Kane Graham, director of NOAA National Weather Service, said, “There are no lines for supply today. No lines for gas, no lines for plywood, no lines for water.” “So when there are no lines, there is a good time to go there and keep your kit (and) together.”
He also said that those who are inland and they feel that they cannot experience the effects of the storm, they should still be prepared.
“Everything is space for the average season above,” Graham said. There is no such thing as “storm just one ‘… just a cat 1 is not such a thing, just a cat 2, just a cat 3 is not such a thing. Each of them is different.”
“We are ready in Noaa here,” he said. “Do you?”
